NK Istra 1961 — HNL 24/25 Season Report

Points

36 matches

111510

W · D · L

39–42

Goals F / A

GD -3

1.19

Avg xG / game

1.24 xGA · net -0.05

49.2%

Avg Possession

0.479

Avg Perf. Index

3.1 SOT · 3.7 opp SOT

Shots in box/gm6.6

Big ch. missed/gm0.8

Fouls/gm14.4

★

Best performance

R27 vs Osijek (2–1)

PI 0.852

▼

Worst performance

R1 vs Dinamo (0–5)

PI 0.09

Key Facts

Home: 7W 8D 3L (29 pts) · Away: 4W 7D 7L (19 pts).
Scored 39 from 42.8 xG (-3.8) · conceded 42 from 44.7 xGA (-2.7).
Better xG than the opponent in 16 of 36 matches.
Longest unbeaten run: 7 matches (rounds 30–36).
Longest run without a win: 5 matches (rounds 10–14).
Clean sheets: 13.
Last 5: D D D W D.

EU Qualification Race — Varaždin & Slaven Belupo

Pos	Club	Pts	W·D·L	GD	xG	xGA	PI
#4	Varaždin	49	11·16·9	+4	1.13	1.06	0.496
#5	Istra	48	11·15·10	-3	1.19	1.24	0.479
#6	Slaven B.	48	13·9·14	-3	1.3	1.39	0.466

Istra vs Varaždin — H2H

0W 3D 1L (0:1)

0–1 (A, R7) · 0–0 (H, R16) · 0–0 (A, R25) · 0–0 (H, R34)

Istra vs Slaven Belupo — H2H

1W 2D 1L (4:4)

1–0 (A, R5) · 2–3 (H, R14) · 0–0 (A, R23) · 1–1 (H, R32)

Performance Index v2 — per match & 5-game rolling average

Expected Goals — xG (Istra) vs xGA (opponent) per round

Ball Possession % per round — red ≥ 50 % (dominant)

First leg vs second leg breakdown

First Leg — Rounds 1–18 (18 matches)

Record4W · 7D · 7L

Points19

Goals F / A (GD)18 / 29 (-11)

Avg xG / xGA1.24 / 1.41

Avg Possession44.6%

Avg Perf. Index0.421

Second Leg — Rounds 19–36 (18 matches)

Record7W · 8D · 3L

Points 29 ↑ improved

Goals F / A (GD)21 / 13 (+8)

Avg xG / xGA1.14 / 1.07

Avg Possession53.8%

Avg Perf. Index 0.536 ↑ improved

Season-over-season comparison — NK Istra 1961

Season	GP	W · D · L	Pts	Goals (GD)	xG/gm	xGA/gm	Poss	Avg PI
HNL 24/25 ◄	36	11 15 10	48	39–42 (-3)	1.19	1.24	49.2%	0.479
HNL 25/26	36	12 7 17	43	39–50 (-11)	1.02	1.82	49.7%	0.402
HNL 26/27	2	0 1 1	1	4–5 (-1)	1.66	1.36	46.0%	0.42

Performance Index trend — 5-match rolling average by season

Key metrics per season

Coaching History — Season by Season

Coach	Nat.	Tenure	Gms	W · D · L	PPG	Goals	xG	xGA	PI
HNL 23/24
Mislav Karoglan	Croatia	07.2023 – 08.2023	3	0 1 2	0.33	1–10 (-9)	0.41	1.66	0.255
David Catala	Spain	08.2023 – 02.2024	17	4 4 9	0.94	13–24 (-11)	1.14	1.15	0.431
Sergej Banović	Croatia	08.2023 – 08.2023	1	0 1 0	1.0	4–4 (0)	1.42	2.02	0.446
HNL 24/25
Sergej Banović	Croatia	12.2024 – 12.2024	1	0 1 0	1.0	2–2 (0)	2.14	1.62	0.478
HNL 23/24
Paolo Tramezzani	Italy	02.2024 – 05.2024	15	6 5 4	1.53	18–16 (+2)	1.02	0.97	0.505
HNL 24/25
Paolo Tramezzani	Italy	08.2024 – 12.2024	17	4 6 7	1.06	16–27 (-11)	1.19	1.4	0.418
Gonzalo Garcia	Uruguay	01.2025 – 05.2025	18	7 8 3	1.61	21–13 (+8)	1.14	1.07	0.536
HNL 25/26
Goran Tomić	Croatia	08.2025 – 09.2025	6	1 2 3	0.83	6–10 (-4)	1.16	1.65	0.396
Oriol Riera	Spain	09.2025 – 04.2026	23	9 4 10	1.35	29–33 (-4)	1.05	1.93	0.407
Krešimir Režić	Croatia	04.2026 – 05.2026	5	2 1 2	1.4	4–4 (0)	0.83	1.33	0.436
HNL 26/27
Javier Cabello● current	Spain	08.2026 – present	2	0 1 1	0.5	4–5 (-1)	1.66	1.36	0.42

Overall totals across all seasons

Coach	Nat.	Seasons	Gms	W · D · L	PPG	Goals	PI
Paolo Tramezzani	Italy	HNL 23/24 · HNL 24/25	32	10 11 11	1.28	34–43 (-9)	0.459
Oriol Riera	Spain	HNL 25/26	23	9 4 10	1.35	29–33 (-4)	0.407
Gonzalo Garcia	Uruguay	HNL 24/25	18	7 8 3	1.61	21–13 (+8)	0.536
David Catala	Spain	HNL 23/24	17	4 4 9	0.94	13–24 (-11)	0.431
Krešimir Režić	Croatia	HNL 25/26	5	2 1 2	1.4	4–4 (0)	0.436
Goran Tomić	Croatia	HNL 25/26	6	1 2 3	0.83	6–10 (-4)	0.396
Sergej Banović	Croatia	HNL 23/24 · HNL 24/25	2	0 2 0	1.0	6–6 (0)	0.462
Mislav Karoglan	Croatia	HNL 23/24	3	0 1 2	0.33	1–10 (-9)	0.255
Javier Cabello	Spain	HNL 26/27	2	0 1 1	0.5	4–5 (-1)	0.42

Salary & Value — HNL 24/25 · HNL wage bill vs results

€2.55M

Istra wage bill

#6 / #5

Salary rank / League pos

Rank delta (pos above wage rank)

+3.4 pts

Points above expected

€25.47M

Top wage bill (Zagreb)

+11.8

Best overperformance (Rijeka)

Wage bill vs points — with expected regression line

Points above / below expected (log-salary model)

#	Club	Salary	Pts	W · D · L	Goals (GD)	Pts/€M	Rank Δ	Pts vs Exp
1	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	€25.47M	65	19 8 9	69–41 (+28)	2.6	0	-1.7
2	HNK Rijeka	€6.22M	65	18 11 7	49–21 (+28)	10.5	+2	+11.8
3	HNK Hajduk Split	€14.04M	63	17 12 7	49–34 (+15)	4.5	-1	+2.0
4	NK Varaždin	€1.57M	49	11 16 9	28–24 (+4)	31.2	+5	+9.0
5	NK Istra 1961	€2.55M	48	11 15 10	39–42 (-3)	18.8	+1	+3.4
6	NK Slaven Belupo	€1.97M	48	13 9 14	42–45 (-3)	24.4	+2	+5.9
7	NK Osijek	€6.46M	42	11 9 16	46–52 (-6)	6.5	-4	-11.6
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	€2.57M	39	10 9 17	45–54 (-9)	15.2	-3	-5.7
9	HNK Gorica	€2.02M	37	9 10 17	29–51 (-22)	18.3	-2	-5.4
10	HNK Šibenik	€1.23M	30	7 9 20	28–60 (-32)	24.4	0	-7.6

NK Istra 1961 — salary vs results by season

Season	Wage bill	Points	Position	Pts/€M
HNL 23/24	€2.53M	41	8	16.2
HNL 24/25	€2.55M	48	5	18.8
HNL 25/26	€3.62M	43	6	11.9

Match-by-match results

Rnd	Date	H/A	Opponent	Score	Res	xG	xGA	Poss	SOT	Box shots	Big ch.	Perf. Index
1	02 Aug 2024	A	Dinamo	0–5	L	0.12	1.93	28.0%	1	2	0	0.09	▼

2	10 Aug 2024	H	Gorica	2–1	W	4.02	1.07	59.0%	5	13	3	0.808	▼

3	18 Aug 2024	A	Rijeka	0–4	L	0.77	1.94	62.0%	1	2	2	0.246	▼

4	25 Aug 2024	H	Hajduk	1–1	D	0.74	1.65	37.0%	1	7	0	0.273	▼

5	31 Aug 2024	A	Slaven B.	1–0	W	0.86	0.46	42.0%	2	5	1	0.669	▼

6	14 Sep 2024	H	Lokomotiva	0–2	L	1.69	1.89	65.0%	1	8	1	0.316	▼

7	20 Sep 2024	A	Varaždin	0–1	L	0.8	2.27	50.0%	2	5	0	0.215	▼

8	27 Sep 2024	A	Šibenik	0–0	D	0.29	0.65	33.0%	2	2	0	0.37	▼

9	04 Oct 2024	H	Osijek	2–1	W	1.08	0.7	38.0%	2	6	3	0.647	▼

10	19 Oct 2024	H	Dinamo	2–2	D	1.04	2.22	33.0%	3	5	0	0.305	▼

11	27 Oct 2024	A	Gorica	0–1	L	1.76	0.91	53.0%	2	11	1	0.466	▼

12	03 Nov 2024	H	Rijeka	0–1	L	0.16	0.34	48.0%	0	2	0	0.288	▼

13	09 Nov 2024	A	Hajduk	1–1	D	0.76	1.63	36.0%	3	4	1	0.382	▼

14	22 Nov 2024	H	Slaven B.	2–3	L	0.81	3.22	48.0%	4	5	0	0.207	▼

15	01 Dec 2024	A	Lokomotiva	2–1	W	1.07	1.15	37.0%	2	8	2	0.61	▼

16	07 Dec 2024	H	Varaždin	0–0	D	1.78	0.17	44.0%	1	10	2	0.699	▼

17	14 Dec 2024	H	Šibenik	3–3	D	2.4	1.53	51.0%	3	8	3	0.513	▼

18	20 Dec 2024	A	Osijek	2–2	D	2.14	1.62	39.0%	7	9	3	0.478	▼

19	25 Jan 2025	A	Dinamo	1–3	L	0.47	1.7	41.0%	2	2	0	0.176	▼

20	31 Jan 2025	H	Gorica	0–0	D	1.61	0.8	59.0%	3	9	3	0.578	▼

21	09 Feb 2025	A	Rijeka	1–0	W	0.93	1.38	43.0%	2	5	3	0.543	▼

22	15 Feb 2025	H	Hajduk	1–1	D	0.87	1.54	47.0%	3	5	2	0.38	▼

23	23 Feb 2025	A	Slaven B.	0–0	D	0.86	1.42	45.0%	1	3	0	0.345	▼

24	28 Feb 2025	H	Lokomotiva	3–2	W	2.39	2.23	55.0%	7	8	3	0.65	▼

25	08 Mar 2025	A	Varaždin	0–0	D	0.25	1.09	52.0%	1	7	0	0.368	▼

26	15 Mar 2025	A	Šibenik	0–1	L	0.99	0.99	62.0%	1	4	1	0.358	▼

27	29 Mar 2025	H	Osijek	2–1	W	1.69	0.17	60.0%	5	12	3	0.852	▼

28	05 Apr 2025	H	Dinamo	3–0	W	1.6	1.46	46.0%	7	13	1	0.689	▼

29	12 Apr 2025	A	Gorica	2–3	L	0.58	1.79	59.0%	7	9	2	0.338	▼

30	19 Apr 2025	H	Rijeka	2–0	W	1.01	0.5	56.0%	4	9	2	0.73	▼

31	23 Apr 2025	A	Hajduk	1–0	W	1.09	1.2	50.0%	3	7	1	0.576	▼

32	28 Apr 2025	H	Slaven B.	1–1	D	1.72	0.48	65.0%	4	9	4	0.636	▼

33	03 May 2025	A	Lokomotiva	0–0	D	0.79	0.36	53.0%	2	4	0	0.587	▼

34	11 May 2025	H	Varaždin	0–0	D	0.94	1.39	70.0%	4	8	1	0.435	▼

35	16 May 2025	H	Šibenik	3–0	W	1.08	0.13	50.0%	5	5	1	0.792	▼

36	25 May 2025	A	Osijek	1–1	D	1.64	0.71	56.0%	8	8	1	0.617	▼

Glossary of Terms

Term	Definition
xG	Expected Goals — probability-weighted shots measure of how many goals a team should have scored
xGA	Expected Goals Against — xG conceded by Istra
xA	Expected Assists — probability that a key pass becomes an assist
PI	Performance Index — composite score (45% result, 30% chance quality, 15% territory, 10% possession)
PPG	Points Per Game
G+A	Goals + Assists combined
CS	Clean Sheet — match with 0 goals conceded
Saves/90	Goalkeeper saves per 90 minutes
sv/90	Same as Saves/90
Def. actions/90	Tackles + interceptions + clearances per 90 min
kp/90	Key passes per 90 minutes
Shots/90	Shots attempted per 90 minutes
Conv%	Shot conversion rate (goals ÷ shots)
Pass%	Pass accuracy percentage
Avg rating	Sofascore match rating average (scale 1–10)
Sofascore rating	Per-player per-match rating by Sofascore platform